Shared Workspaces
Public catalog of Qwidgets: shareable workspaces tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics. Open any workspace live with no account, and copy one to make it yours.
Workspaces
- Fed Chair Transition Tracker
Warsh's Fed hiked 25bp on September 16, and October 28 is now priced as a pause: hold 82.5%, hike 16.5%, with December still 70.5% for a hike. The dissent board has Beth Hammack...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Crypto Clarity Act 2026
After the Senate failed to invoke cloture on the CLARITY Act, 2026 enactment has fallen to 4.95% on Polymarket and 4.65% on Kalshi, and enactment before 2028 is down to 16.5%.
Updated 2026-10-03 - Trump Approval Tracker
Kalshi's October 9 ladder opens centred on 37.9 to 38.1 at 25.5%, six-tenths below the last book, and its weekly direction book still disagrees with it. With no Polymarket daily...
Updated 2026-10-09 - F1 Race Books 2026
Singapore is open: Verstappen is the race favorite at 43.5% on Kalshi and 42% on Polymarket, while Antonelli's drivers' title is 95.5% and 96.5% and Mercedes is 98% for construc...
Updated 2026-10-09 - AI Lab Private Valuations 2026
Polymarket's year-end ladders put Anthropic at a coin flip near $2.5T and OpenAI past $1.25T at 77%, while Kalshi's IPO clock has pushed an Anthropic announcement out of October.
Updated 2026-10-01 - Brazil Presidential Election 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro is 87.5% on Kalshi and 86.75% on Polymarket to win Brazil's October 25 runoff against Lula, and both margin boards now make a Bolsonaro win by three to eight po...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Next Prime Minister of Israel
Gadi Eizenkot leads the next Israeli premiership at 43.7% on Polymarket and 44.5% on Kalshi, with Benjamin Netanyahu at 35.5% and taking most of the flow ahead of the October 27...
Updated 2026-10-08 - Texas Senate 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 Texas Senate race: Talarico leads Paxton 65.5–34 on Kalshi and 65.5–34.5 on Polymarket, with the money on the leader on both, plus margin lad...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Nevada Governor 2026
Nevada's governor's race is a coin flip the exchanges split on: Kalshi has Joe Lombardo at 51.5%, Polymarket has Aaron Ford at 52%, and both margin books put their largest weigh...
Updated 2026-10-03 - Georgia Governor 2026
Georgia's governor's race has flipped: Republican Rick Jackson is 53.5% on Kalshi and Polymarket to Keisha Lance Bottoms' 47.5% and 45.5%, the margin ladders say close, and a ru...
Updated 2026-10-04 - Texas Governor 2026
Abbott is 74.5% to win on Kalshi and within a point and a half on Polymarket and Manifold, but the margin ladder gives him 31% to win by six, and a Democrat winning something st...
Updated 2026-10-08 - Baseball Game Books 2026 — MLB, KBO and NPB
Kalshi's MLB title board has the Dodgers at 43.15% on a $1,464,411 day with Milwaukee second at 24.4%; Cleveland–White Sox goes to Game 5 on Saturday, Cleveland 56% on Kalshi.
Updated 2026-10-09 - Recession Risk — 2026 and 2027
Kalshi's 2026 NBER recession binary is down to 3.5% against 18.5% for 2027, three points under Polymarket's 6.5%, while Kalshi's October Fed board prices a hold at 83.5%.
Updated 2026-10-08 - NFL Game Books 2026 — Touchdowns, First Scorers, Yards
Kalshi prices Seattle at 61.5% for Sunday's 49ers–Seahawks game and Polymarket has San Francisco at 38.5%, with spread, total, first-scorer and yardage books beside the season M...
Updated 2026-10-09 - 2026 House Control
Kalshi prices Democrats at 90% for the House, with $1,007,624 of the day on the 9.95% Republican leg; a Democratic sweep is 60.5% on Kalshi and 62.5% on Polymarket, and TX-15 ho...
Updated 2026-10-09 - 2026 Senate Control
Cross-exchange view on 2026 Senate control: Kalshi prices a Democratic Senate at 60.5% and Polymarket at 63.5%, Kalshi's book put 64% of $447,498 on the Republican leg, and Texa...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Bitcoin Year-End 2026
Year-end Bitcoin distribution as a trading-calibrated options chain: Kalshi's Range centers on $75–85k with bitcoin near $81,000, $100k-again prices 27.5% before 2027, and Bitco...
Updated 2026-10-08 - California Governor 2026
Kalshi's California book is down to Becerra at 96.75% and Hilton at 3.3%, and Hilton's leg took $237,971 of the day's $294,820; the wealth tax measure is 33.5% and voter ID 31.5%.
Updated 2026-10-02 - 2028 Presidential Election
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2028 US presidential race: Vance is near 20% on both general-election books, and the Democratic nomination is a three-way race that Ocasio-Cortez ...
Updated 2026-10-02 - New Hampshire Senate 2026
Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold all price Chris Pappas near 89% for New Hampshire's Senate seat, and the margin boards have followed: Pappas by six or more is 63% on Kalshi.
Updated 2026-10-09 - SpaceX IPO Tracker
Both venues have marked Anthropic's IPO down: Polymarket prices a listing by November 30 at 67.5%, Kalshi an announcement before December at 63%. OpenAI's 2026 listing is about ...
Updated 2026-10-09 - US Energy Complex 2026 — gas, diesel and Texas power
Henry Hub's October 9 Kalshi ladder has climbed back toward $3.40, above $3.299 at 94.5% and above $3.399 at 36.5%; Polymarket's week board has printed a $3.20 touch, and the di...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Bitcoin Short-Horizon Books 2026
Bitcoin holds near $82,800: Kalshi's Friday range board puts 37% on $82,500 to $82,999.99, Polymarket's Saturday board has 82,000 at 86.5% and 84,000 at 11.5%, and $100,000 by y...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Cricket Markets 2026 — ODIs, Tests, T20 and cross-exchange
India is 80% on Kalshi and 81.5% on Polymarket for Sunday's T20 against West Indies; Pakistan is 99% over Sri Lanka, and India A–Australia A and Australia–Bangladesh fill out th...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Esports Markets 2026 — CS2, LoL, Valorant, Dota
ESL Pro League playoffs on Friday: Spirit 57.5% over Team Falcons on Kalshi with Polymarket a point apart, PRIVATE 52.5% over Nuclear TigeRES on both exchanges, and Fire Flux sl...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Mention Markets 2026—contracts on what people say
Kalshi's board on Trump's New York rally has turned $252,258, its named legs at 96.5% and Fraud three times at 53.5%; the weekly Trump board settles October 12, beside the bank,...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Climate and Hurricane Season 2026
Isaias's Category 3 rung is at 99% and a major hurricane this season is priced the same; Category 4 has faded to 5%, and September as the hottest on record is 5% into Saturday's...
Updated 2026-10-09 - US Gas Prices Tracker
Kalshi's daily gas board has rolled to Saturday on $57,299, October's above $4.30 rung has risen to 55.5%, the year's above $4.60 is 53%, and California's Saturday print is pric...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Ethereum 2026 Tracker
Ether sits just under $2,500: Kalshi's Friday range board puts 57.5% on $2,470 to $2,509.99, Polymarket's Saturday board has 2,500 at 50.2%, and a touch of $2,250 this year is 5...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Global Temperature Markets 2026
Kalshi's Los Angeles ladder for October 9 leads with 78° or below at 75.5%, while Polymarket's October 10 board centers on 76–77°F; Shanghai, Tokyo and Seoul each have one degre...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Combat sports: UFC and boxing
Canelo is 74.5% over Mbilli for October 31; Saturday brings Edwards–Lewis on Kalshi, Edwards at 95%, and a UFC card that has taken $7,194 across four fights, while Strickland ha...
Updated 2026-10-09 - US Index Markets 2026
Friday's close is priced on both exchanges: Kalshi's S&P ladder has 7,800 or above at 50% and Polymarket's SPY board $775 at 72%; October's touch board has $790 at 57.5%, and Ka...
Updated 2026-10-09 - US Jobs Report Tracker
October's jobs report settles November 6: Kalshi's unemployment ladder puts 4.2% or higher at 69%, a negative payrolls print prices about 13%, and the continuing claims board ha...
Updated 2026-10-09 - WTI Crude Oil Tracker
Kalshi's Friday WTI ladder centers near $90.50, above $90.49 at 51.5%; Polymarket's October board has $95 at 62% and $100 at 32.5%, and $115 for 2026 is back up to 30.75%.
Updated 2026-10-09 - Kansas Senate 2026 — Marshall vs. Hamilton
Roger Marshall leads Kansas's Senate race at 63.5% on Kalshi and 62.5% on Polymarket against Adam Hamilton at 36.5%, and the margin board gives him 42.5% to win by three or more.
Updated 2026-10-08 - WNBA 2026 Championship
Atlanta leads Kalshi's WNBA title book at 44.5% with Golden State at 42.5%, both about 85% to reach the Finals; Las Vegas has fallen to 8.5%, and Polymarket and Manifold have th...
Updated 2026-10-09 - China 2026 — Taiwan, Xi and the Tariff Deal
Polymarket's Taiwan timing chain (invasion by end of 2026 at 2.25%, by June 2027 at 7.5%, by end of 2027 at 11.5%) beside the year-end US tariff rate on China and Xi's own posit...
Updated 2026-10-08 - MLB World Series Champion 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 World Series with five teams left: the Dodgers at 42.3%, Milwaukee and Tampa Bay near 24% each, and a National League the market still rates ...
Updated 2026-10-08 - Central banks beyond the Fed
The ECB's October 29 coin flip has broken to a hold—91% on Kalshi, 93.5% on Polymarket—while December prices a 25bp hike at 74.5% and the Bank of Japan holds at 95% and 96%.
Updated 2026-10-08 - Rhode Island 2026 — after the primaries
Both statewide races are priced as done—Reed at 98.9% and 99.3%, Foulkes at 96.7% and 97.1%—and the gubernatorial margin board now leads with Democrat 20–25% at 25.45%.
Updated 2026-10-08 - UK Politics 2026 — one leadership board, and no flow
One Manifold next-PM board survives, now led by Andy Burnham at 39.7% over Nigel Farage at 24.8%, beside a Polymarket PM count board with $39,671 of open interest and a dormant ...
Updated 2026-10-08 - NFL Champion 2027 and the Season Books
The Rams lead Kalshi's championship book at 11.5%, from 16%, on $1,329,442 a day; Chicago at 9.5% takes 52% of the NFC book, Houston has fallen to 1.5%, and Polymarket's mirror ...
Updated 2026-10-08 - NBA Champion 2027
Kalshi's NBA title board turned $301,972 with Oklahoma City and San Antonio level at 21.5%; Philadelphia at 11.05% took $77,843 of Polymarket's $161,724 day, and its Kalshi leg ...
Updated 2026-10-08 - Massachusetts 2026 — after the primaries
Healey at 95.15% and Markey at 98.3%, while a Republican priced at 5 cents takes 98.6% of the governor book's $89,662 day on 583,820 contracts of open interest.
Updated 2026-10-08 - Iowa Governor 2026
Iowa's November 3 governor's race on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold: Rob Sand is 87.5% to win the open seat, most of the money on both exchanges is on Zach Lahn at about 14%, a...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Waymo and Robotaxi Expansion 2026
Both exchanges have marked Waymo's 2026 expansion down since September: Sacramento is 11.5% on Kalshi from 54%, Tampa and San Diego are near 80%, and Polymarket's count board no...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Motorsport Championships 2026 — NASCAR and Formula One
Kyle Larson has taken over the NASCAR Cup title boards at 41.5% on Kalshi and on Polymarket, with Denny Hamlin down to about 27%; Kimi Antonelli is 95.5% and 96.6% for the Formu...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Ohio Senate Special 2026
Sherrod Brown against Jon Husted for JD Vance's old seat: Brown leads on Kalshi at 62.5%, Polymarket at 61.5% and Manifold at 62.4%, unchanged on the exchanges for three days wi...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Michigan Senate 2026
Michigan's open Senate seat across three books: El-Sayed 70.5–73.5%, Rogers 27.5–29%, with Kalshi's party book turning $214,135 in a day and $146,646 of it on Rogers.
Updated 2026-10-07 - North Carolina Senate 2026
Cooper prices 96.8% on Kalshi and 96.25% on Polymarket, the Whatley leg has drawn another burst, $30,767 of Kalshi's $34,198 day at about 3 cents, and Senate control is up to 64...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Netflix Weekly Charts 2026
Kalshi's Netflix boards have rolled to the week ending October 12: East of Eden is 44% for the top show and 60% for #2, Doing Life leads the movie board at 41.5%, and the #1 sho...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Entertainment Markets 2026 — TV, Streaming, Reviews
Kalshi's Rotten Tomatoes ladder for The Social Reckoning has collapsed from near 70 to the high 40s on a $233,405 day, and Other Mommy is priced near 50; both settle October 12,...
Updated 2026-10-07 - MLS Cup and Liga MX Apertura 2026
Vancouver leads MLS Cup at 24% on Kalshi and 22.1% on Polymarket with Nashville second, Toluca leads the Liga MX Apertura at 25.5%, and Chicago hosts New York City on October 10.
Updated 2026-10-07 - Taipei Mayor Election 2026
Taiwan's November 28 local elections on Polymarket and Kalshi: Chiang Wan-an is 72.5% for Taipei mayor with most of the $66,327 day on Puma Shen, New Taipei is near even, and th...
Updated 2026-10-06 - New York Governor 2026
New York's November 3 governor's race on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold: Kathy Hochul is 95% to win, most of Kalshi's $64,330 day and its open interest sit on Bruce Blakeman at...
Updated 2026-10-06 - Stanley Cup 2027
Kalshi and Polymarket both have Colorado on top for the 2027 Stanley Cup, 12.5% and 11.5%; Kalshi's conference books put Colorado at 19.5% in the West and Florida and Carolina l...
Updated 2026-10-06 - State Economy Markets 2026-27
Kalshi's state-economy series, industry employment and coal production, has gone quiet at about $10,400 a day from $160,000 in September, while open interest has built: 63,466 o...
Updated 2026-10-06 - Oklahoma Governor 2026
Four weeks out, Kalshi prices Mike Mazzei at 91.3% and Polymarket at 92.5% for Oklahoma governor; Cyndi Munson's 8.65% leg still holds three times the favorite's open interest, ...
Updated 2026-10-06 - European Club Football 2026-27
Arsenal is about 62% for the Premier League on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold, up from even money in September; Barcelona is 79% for La Liga and leads the Champions League boar...
Updated 2026-10-06 - World Leader Turnover 2026
Two exchanges price which heads of government fall before 2027: Putin out by year end is 3.15% on Polymarket and 5.7% on Kalshi, and 99% of the Putin book's $316,188 day traded ...
Updated 2026-10-06 - Sports Awards 2026-27
Jeremiah Smith is 47% for the Heisman and Sal Stewart 73.5% for NL Rookie of the Year, while Kalshi's NFL MVP book, $2.17M in a day, has no one above Josh Allen's 18.5% and Wemb...
Updated 2026-10-06 - 2027 College Basketball Champion
Kalshi's 2026-27 men's college basketball title book has Florida at 13.5% and Duke at 12.5% on top of a flat field, beside the women's book, where South Carolina leads at 27%, a...
Updated 2026-10-06 - AI Model Market Share
Kalshi's weekly AI share ladders have rolled to the week of October 12: DeepSeek opens near 22.6%, OpenAI near 17.9% and Google near 17.8%, with Anthropic between 2.5% and 2.6%,...
Updated 2026-10-06 - League of Legends Worlds 2026
The 2026 League of Legends World Championship on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold: Gen.G leads at about 33%, with T1, Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports between 15% and 20%,...
Updated 2026-10-05 - Trump Administration Turnover 2026
Pete Hegseth leads Kalshi's 2026 departure book at 25.5% and Polymarket prices him at 24.5%; he and RFK Jr. top the next-Cabinet-exit book, and a Cabinet departure before Januar...
Updated 2026-10-05 - Tennessee Governor 2026
Tennessee governor: Blackburn at 94.75% on Kalshi and 95.95% on Polymarket against Jerri Green, on books that have begun to trade a little, with vote-share and margin ladders im...
Updated 2026-10-05 - South Carolina Senate 2026 — Graham vs Andrews
Kalshi prices Graham at 86.5% and Andrews at 13.5%, but the Andrews leg holds more than twice the favorite's open interest and took $49,361 of a $54,839 day; the margin ladder i...
Updated 2026-10-05 - Ohio Governor 2026
Ohio's open-seat governor race, Vivek Ramaswamy against Amy Acton: Acton is 66.5% on Kalshi and 67.5% on Polymarket, up from a coin flip in mid-September, with the November 3 el...
Updated 2026-10-05 - Iowa Senate 2026
Iowa is the live one—Hinson 56.5% to Turek 43.5%—but three Kalshi books imply 52%, 56.5% and 57.5%, and the combo book's leading outcome is now a Sand–Turek Democratic sweep at ...
Updated 2026-10-05 - Top AI Model Tracker
Year end has tightened to Claude 50.45%, Gemini 38.8% on Kalshi and Anthropic 48.5%, Google 43.5% on Polymarket, while October's books price Gemini near 68% with Anthropic at 31...
Updated 2026-10-05 - 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion
Kimi Antonelli is 96.5% on Polymarket and 95.5% on Kalshi for the 2026 F1 drivers' title, no other driver is above 2%, and Mercedes is 98.6% for the constructors' title.
Updated 2026-10-05 - Nebraska Senate 2026 — Ricketts, Osborn and a three-way board
Nebraska's Senate race is Ricketts against the independent Osborn: Ricketts 72.5% and Osborn 27.5% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, with Manifold a half point away, and the heavy ...
Updated 2026-10-04 - Wisconsin Governor 2026 — Crowley vs Tiffany
Crowley is 79.5% on Kalshi, 81.5% on Polymarket and 84% on Manifold against Tiffany for Wisconsin governor; Tiffany's 20.5% leg holds twice the favorite's open interest, and the...
Updated 2026-10-04 - Georgia Senate 2026
Ossoff prices 95.65% on Kalshi and 97.2% on Polymarket to hold Georgia, with nearly three times his open interest still on Collins at 4.25%; the margin ladder centers on a nine-...
Updated 2026-10-04 - 2026 Florida Governor Race
Donalds is 76.5% to Jolly's 23.5% on Kalshi and 77.5–22.5 on Polymarket, five points closer than in mid-September; the margin ladder puts Donalds by 6+ at 38.5%, and Nixon's 12%...
Updated 2026-10-04 - Corporate Operating Metrics 2026
Tesla's and Ford's Q3 boards have closed and Q1 2027 ladders take their place: Tesla deliveries above 400,000 is 47.5% on $9,009, while the California FAIR Plan board prices abo...
Updated 2026-10-04 - NBA Player Movement 2026
Seventeen days from settlement, Kalshi prices Curry 99% to stay in Golden State, Bronny 95.5% with the Lakers and Jalen Duren 99% in Detroit; Polymarket's Duren board has closed...
Updated 2026-10-04 - College Football 2026 — game books, conferences and the Heisman
Georgia leads both national title boards, 17.5% on Kalshi and 16.45% on Polymarket, with Ohio St. at 16.5%. Jeremiah Smith has doubled to 47.5% on the Heisman board, and next Sa...
Updated 2026-10-04 - Alaska Senate 2026
Mary Peltola is 70.5% on both Kalshi and Polymarket to take Alaska's Senate seat from Dan Sullivan, Kalshi's flow sits on the Republican leg, and the first-round board prices Pe...
Updated 2026-10-03 - Ballon d'Or 2026
Lamine Yamal has overtaken Harry Kane for the 2026 Ballon d'Or on all three venues—49.8% on Polymarket, 48.5% on Kalshi—with Kane at 43.5% and 45.5%, and Kalshi's busiest leg is...
Updated 2026-10-03 - 2027 College Football National Championship
Georgia leads Kalshi's national title board at 17.5% with Ohio State at 15.5%, and five nested books give a round-by-round survival curve for every team; the title board turned ...
Updated 2026-10-03 - 2026 Maine Senate Race
Kalshi's Maine Senate party book has Troy Jackson at 59.5% over Susan Collins, down from 66%, with the person book at 55.5% and the margin ladder at 53%; Polymarket now lists th...
Updated 2026-10-03 - Venezuela leader 2026 — office vs power
Kalshi's two Venezuela leader books still disagree completely—Maduro 80.5% to officially lead, Delcy Rodríguez 92.5% to de facto lead—while Polymarket's single book has moved to...
Updated 2026-10-03 - US Treasury Yield Curve 2026
Kalshi's tenor books have reopened for October 9 with the 10-year's 5.31% rung marked at 47% and little traded, and Polymarket prices a 5.5% touch on the 10-year before 2027 at ...
Updated 2026-10-03 - AI Compute Markets 2026
GPU rental price markets: Kalshi's Week 41 weeklies for H100, H200, B200, A100 and RTX 5090, Polymarket's October and year-end H100 boards, and the data-centre regulatory books.
Updated 2026-10-03 - Gold, Silver and Copper Tracker
Kalshi's metals weeklies have rolled to October 9 on thin opening books, with copper's ladder crossing 50% near $6.54, beside Polymarket's October and year-end touch boards for ...
Updated 2026-10-03 - 2028 Democratic Nomination — Cross-Exchange
Jon Ossoff now leads the 2028 Democratic nomination on Kalshi at 16.5%, while Polymarket still has AOC first at 16.75% with Newsom and Ossoff within a point and a half; Andy Bes...
Updated 2026-10-03 - Next SCOTUS Vacancy
Alito, then Thomas, on Kalshi and two Manifold books; Andrew Oldham has pulled ten points clear of the replacement field at 23%, and Kalshi's confirmation ladder took $6,109 of ...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Mississippi Senate 2026
Cindy Hyde-Smith is 90% on Kalshi and 90.5% on Polymarket to hold Mississippi's Senate seat, Scott Colom's leg takes nearly all the volume on both, and Kalshi's margin ladder pu...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Hantavirus Pandemic 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for 2026 hantavirus pandemic risk: Polymarket's headline Single is 2.6% and Kalshi's WHO-declaration Single 3.4%, both below the 4.5% each venue gives a g...
Updated 2026-10-02 - 2027 French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French race at 44% on Polymarket and 46.5% on Kalshi, up from 32.9% and 37% three weeks ago, with Édouard Philippe near 20%; Polymarket turns $652,5...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Australian Open 2027
Kalshi's 2027 Australian Open boards: Sinner 33.5%, Alcaraz 31% and Zverev 20% on a men's book that turned $87 today, and a women's board that is listed but has not traded.
Updated 2026-10-02 - Minnesota Senate 2026
Peggy Flanagan is 89.5% on both Kalshi and Polymarket for Minnesota's open Senate seat, Michele Tafoya's 10.5% leg takes twice the favorite's volume, and Kalshi's margin ladder ...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Powell at the Fed
Warsh is chair and Powell keeps a governor's seat: Kalshi and Polymarket agree on about 16% for a departure by year end, and the June 2027 leg has fallen from 62.5% to 39.5%.
Updated 2026-10-02 - Federal legislation trackers 2026
Kalshi's legislative books have shed their elapsed gates: the Clarity Act prices 7.5% to become law before 2027 on a $30,599 day, the SAVE America Act 4.6%, and FISA reauthoriza...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Government Shutdown Watch: December 12, 2026
Congress funded the government through December 11, so the October 1 contracts priced out at 1%; Kalshi's December 12 shutdown contract now prices the next deadline at 34.5%, up...
Updated 2026-10-01 - Altcoin Markets 2026 — SOL, XRP and DOGE
Solana, XRP and Dogecoin on Polymarket and Kalshi: SOL's 2026 touch ladder against Kalshi's year-end close, XRP's 2026 high on both exchanges, Dogecoin to $1, and the crypto-ret...
Updated 2026-10-01 - White House Personnel 2026 — Press Secretary and the Cabinet
Anna Kelly now leads Kalshi's Press Secretary book at 19.5% (20.5% on Polymarket) with Scott Jennings at 15.5%, and the timing ladder prices an announcement before November 1 at...
Updated 2026-10-01 - Largest Company Tracker
With September settled, Polymarket's December board prices NVIDIA at 79.5% to end 2026 as the world's largest company and Apple at 15.55%, while SpaceX at half a cent takes the ...
Updated 2026-10-01 - Vermont Governor 2026
Phil Scott is 82.5–83% on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold, but the margin boards price a single-digit race and most of Polymarket's money is on Amanda Janoo.
Updated 2026-09-30 - AI Milestones 2026—AGI, Millennium Prize and releases
Kalshi has relisted its Astra 6.1 ladder, now paired with Polymarket's; the Navier-Stokes contract has fallen to 6.1%, and OpenAI AGI before 2027 prices 14.5–18.0%.
Updated 2026-10-01 - 2027 Oscars — Best Picture
Cross-exchange tracker for the 99th Academy Awards Best Picture race—Kalshi's full-field winner book alongside Manifold's independent read, plus the nomination markets that set ...
Updated 2026-10-08 - Middle East Escalation Tracker
Polymarket prices a US announcement ending the Iranian blockade at 12.5% by October 15 and 50.15% by December 31, both ceasefire boards hold above 83% through their October gate...
Updated 2026-10-06 - September 2026 CPI Release
The September CPI report is due October 14: Kalshi's month-over-month chain centers on 0.5% on $178,881, headline year over year on 3.6%, and core is split between 2.4% and 2.5%...
Updated 2026-10-08 - FOMC Tracker
The Fed hiked 25bp on September 16 and October 28 is priced as a pause: hold 82.5% and another 25bp 16.5% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, with one more hike by year end the base ...
Updated 2026-10-07 - Top-Flight Soccer 2026-27 — Title Races and Game Books
Arsenal is back to 62.5% on Kalshi and 60.5% on Polymarket for the Premier League title, with City down to 19.5% on both; La Liga, the Champions League and the Ballon d'Or run a...
Updated 2026-10-09 - Golf Tour Books 2026: Baycurrent Classic and Open de España
Kalshi's Baycurrent Classic winner board turned $1.3M with Xander Schauffele on top at 8.05%, and its Open de España board $644,822 with Ludvig Aberg at 9.55%, beside the 2027 M...
Updated 2026-10-06 - UEFA Champions League 2026-27
Barcelona has pulled clear in the 2027 Champions League at 25.5% on Kalshi and 23.5% on Polymarket, eleven and nine points ahead of Bayern; Polymarket turns $474,638 a day to Ka...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Los Angeles Mayor 2026—Raman vs Bass Runoff
The November 3 LA mayoral runoff: Raman leads Bass 57.5–59.55% across Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold, while most of Kalshi's $848k day ran onto the Bass leg.
Updated 2026-10-09 - The Masters 2027
Kalshi's 2027 Masters board: Scheffler 22.5%, McIlroy 11.5% and Rahm 6.25% across 51 names on $20,948 a day, with the 2027 majors, Scheffler's grand slam and the Ryder Cup as co...
Updated 2026-10-02 - Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Tracker
Polymarket prices a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire at 57% by August 2027 and 68.5% by the end of 2027, a signed peace deal this year at 9.5%, and a NATO–Russia clash by December 31 at...
Updated 2026-10-02