Shared Workspaces

Public catalog of Qwidgets: shareable workspaces tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics. Open any workspace live with no account, and copy one to make it yours.

Workspaces

  • Fed Chair Transition Tracker

    Warsh's Fed hiked 25bp on September 16 and October 28 is split—hold 55%, hike 45%. The biggest book on the page is whether Trump criticizes him before January, at 48%.

    Updated 2026-09-17
  • Crypto Clarity Act 2026

    The Senate failed to invoke cloture on the CLARITY Act: 2026 enactment has fallen to 6.7% on Polymarket and 8.1% on Kalshi, while enactment before 2028 holds at 28%.

    Updated 2026-09-27
  • Trump Approval Tracker

    Kalshi's October 2 ladder opened nine-tenths lower, centred on 38.5 to 38.7, and its own weekly direction book still disagrees with it. With no Polymarket daily mirror, the cros...

    Updated 2026-09-26
  • F1 Race Books 2026

    Russell won Baku and the title books barely moved: Antonelli 92.5% on Kalshi and 91.1% on Polymarket for the drivers' title, Mercedes 96% for constructors, while Singapore waits...

    Updated 2026-09-27
  • AI Lab Private Valuations 2026

    Polymarket's NPM-powered strike ladders on OpenAI and Anthropic year-end 2026 marks—Anthropic now prices at roughly twice OpenAI, with its three deepest legs all above $3T, plus...

    Updated 2026-09-15
  • Brazil Presidential Election 2026

    Cross-exchange tracker for Brazil's October 4 first round—Lula 66.5% and Flávio Bolsonaro 28.7% with Kalshi agreeing within two points, while 58% of Polymarket's $923k day sits ...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • New Hampshire Senate 2026

    Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold all price Chris Pappas near 84% for New Hampshire's Senate seat, and the margin boards are catching up: Pappas by six or more is 57% on Kalshi an...

    Updated 2026-09-22
  • Nebraska Senate 2026 — Ricketts, Osborn and a three-way board

    Nebraska is the highest-volume single Senate race on either exchange at $274,105 a day—Ricketts 70%, the independent Osborn 32%, and a Democrat at half a cent.

    Updated 2026-09-18
  • Texas Governor 2026

    Abbott is 79% to win on three exchanges, but the margin ladder only gives him 45% to win by six, and a Democrat winning something statewide in Texas trades at 64%.

    Updated 2026-09-21
  • Top-Flight Soccer 2026-27 — Title Races and Game Books

    Arsenal's Premier League title price fell nine points to 48% on both Kalshi and Polymarket in a few days, with City at 41% and 39%; La Liga, the Champions League and the Ballon ...

    Updated 2026-09-21
  • Recession Risk — 2026 and 2027

    Kalshi's 2026 NBER recession binary sits at 6% against 25% for 2027, and the cross-exchange gap to Polymarket has widened to four points as the Fed starts tightening.

    Updated 2026-09-17
  • NFL Game Books 2026 — Touchdowns, First Scorers, Yards

    Kalshi and Polymarket price Monday's Eagles–Bears game within a point—Philadelphia at 65.5% and 64.5%—with spread, total, first-scorer and yardage books beside the season MVP bo...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • 2026 House Control

    Kalshi prices Democrats at 91.8% for the House, yet 55% of the day's $492,980 bought the 9.1% Republican leg; both venues put a Democratic sweep at 61%, TX-15 has flipped to Pul...

    Updated 2026-09-21
  • 2026 Senate Control

    Cross-exchange view on 2026 Senate control—Kalshi prices Republicans 52.5% while Polymarket has crossed to 50.5% Democratic, plus the seat-count Range, the combo books and the T...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Netflix Weekly Charts 2026

    The week to September 22 is live on Kalshi and Polymarket has not opened it, so this page has moved wholesale. Crew Girl leads the top US show board at 18% with every other titl...

    Updated 2026-09-24
  • Bitcoin Year-End 2026

    Year-end Bitcoin distribution as a trading-calibrated options chain—Kalshi and Polymarket ranges now centered on $65–70k, a fat sub-$45k left tail, $100k-again at 10.5%, and Bit...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • California Governor 2026

    Kalshi's California book is down to two names—Becerra at 96.4% and Hilton at 3.6%—and the 3.6% leg holds $3,579,657, more than twice what backs the favorite.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2028 Presidential Election

    Cross-exchange tracker for the 2028 US presidential race—Ocasio-Cortez has taken the Democratic nomination lead from Newsom on both books while carrying a third of all flow, and...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Next SCOTUS Vacancy

    The market's answer has not changed: Alito, then Thomas, then a long gap—agreed across Kalshi and two Manifold books. The replacement field is flat, and three arbitrage-free vio...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Mention Markets 2026 — contracts on what people say

    Kalshi's weekly Trump board settles on a $431,275 final day and the new week opens with Save America Act at 72%; Carnival's call, Robinhood's HOOD Summit keynote, Constellation,...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • China 2026 — Taiwan, Xi and the Washington Visit

    The US–China tariff agreement resolved Yes at every date; the year-end tariff rate now prices 5–15% at 77%, while every Taiwan invasion horizon stays under 12%.

    Updated 2026-09-27
  • AI Compute Markets 2026

    Week 40 GPU books: B200 carries the only real flow, H100's cliff moved up to $3.00 while Polymarket's September index prices it a tier lower, and A100 opened without a trade. CM...

    Updated 2026-09-26
  • Government Shutdown Watch — Oct 1 and Dec 12, 2026

    Kalshi's October 1 shutdown contract has fallen to 1% on $445,834 of open interest, PredictIt and Manifold agree, and Kalshi's new December 12 contract prices the next deadline ...

    Updated 2026-09-25
  • WNBA 2026 Championship

    Kalshi's WNBA title book prices Minnesota at 44% against Polymarket's 47%, while its busiest leg is New York at 6%; the Finals-qualifier board has Minnesota at 71% and Las Vegas...

    Updated 2026-09-25
  • AI Model Market Share

    Kalshi's new weekly ladders on each lab's share of measured model traffic put DeepSeek near 25.7% and Google near 19.3%, with Qwen, Tencent and Anthropic below and no OpenAI board.

    Updated 2026-09-22
  • Cricket Markets 2026 — ODIs, Tests, T20 and cross-exchange

    England are 86% on Kalshi and 87% on Polymarket in a $942,738 ODI, with the second match, South Africa–Australia, a four-day India A–Australia A board and two associate T20s alo...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Ethereum 2026 Tracker

    Ether climbed to around $2,730; Polymarket's day board put $56,287, a quarter of its $222,312, on the 2,800 strike at 11%, while Kalshi's close ladder sits at 62% for $2,710.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • US Gas Prices Tracker

    Kalshi's national gas week board settled and the next is not listed; the depth is on the year board, $771,718 of open interest with its busiest rung above $4.60 at 68%, and Sept...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Bitcoin Short-Horizon Books 2026

    Bitcoin rallied through $85,000 and Polymarket's September touch board paid it; $105,046 then bought the $100,000 rung at 4.2%, while Kalshi's day ladder puts the coin flip at $...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Combat sports: UFC and boxing

    A finished UFC card took $3.5m today while the entire forward calendar turned $12,704—and the two live boxing books disagree by three points on how a two-man market should add up.

    Updated 2026-09-27
  • Global Temperature Markets 2026

    Five of nine daily temperature boards put their biggest ticket on something other than the favourite, and Beijing put 41% of its day into a 20% rung. Polymarket's boards have ro...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Kansas Senate 2026 — Marshall at 68%, the money on Hamilton

    Kansas turns $130,285 a day and 517,506 contracts sit on Adam Hamilton at 34%—nearly twice the paper behind Roger Marshall at 68%, whom the margin board gives a coin flip to win...

    Updated 2026-09-18
  • Rhode Island 2026 — after the primaries

    Both statewide races are settled—Reed at 98%, Foulkes at 95% on both exchanges—and the gubernatorial margin board is the only Rhode Island contract with a distribution left in it.

    Updated 2026-09-18
  • Central banks beyond the Fed

    The ECB on October 29 is a coin flip both exchanges agree on—51/48 and 49/50—while the Bank of Japan's three-cent tail is outtrading its 77% consensus leg.

    Updated 2026-09-24
  • US Treasury Yield Curve 2026

    The 10-year book traded in 24 hours and three of the five tenor ladders are now internally impossible. The October Fed meeting outtrades the whole curve eight to one.

    Updated 2026-09-17
  • Baseball Game Books 2026 — MLB, KBO and NPB

    Washington at 37% has out-traded Philadelphia at 64% by $65,213, and Cleveland at 2.3% is the second-busiest contract on a $676,686 championship board.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Esports Markets 2026 — CS2, LoL, Valorant, Dota

    A half-cent CS2 leg took 80% of its board, and Polymarket has $1.83M paying 99.95 cents on three LoL games that are already decided.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • NBA Champion 2027

    Polymarket put 29% of a $126,239 NBA title day into the Utah Jazz at 0.75%, while Kalshi's Philadelphia leg carries 5.27M contracts of open interest on a $9,662 day.

    Updated 2026-09-15
  • US Energy Complex 2026 — gas, diesel and Texas power

    Polymarket quotes natural gas up today at 83% with its last print at 63% on $194 traded, while Kalshi's ladder puts its busiest money on a 15% rung.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • ATP Challenger Tennis — and the 2027 majors

    A Challenger match splits $97,004 three to one on a two-to-one price—the one tennis board in this catalog where the money follows the price.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Women's Tennis Books — ITF Circuit and the 2027 Majors

    A contract priced at half a cent took 40% of a $103,951 ITF board and holds 38,568 contracts of open interest—carried into settlement, not scalped.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Massachusetts 2026 — after the primaries

    Healey at 96% and Markey at 96.5%, and a Republican priced at 6.8 cents taking two-thirds of the state's volume on 238,000 contracts of open interest. The vote-share ladder is t...

    Updated 2026-09-14
  • US Index Markets 2026

    The platform's only next-session index book is down to $597, with 84% of it on a strike priced at half a cent—while the 2026 year-end ladders hold the open interest.

    Updated 2026-09-26
  • WTI Crude Oil Tracker

    WTI settles this afternoon near $95.50 on $154,004 and 178,571 contracts, with one half-point inversion; Brent's board for the same minute is clean, and Polymarket's September t...

    Updated 2026-09-26
  • State Economy Markets 2026-27

    Kalshi's templated state-economy series—industry employment and coal production—turns $160,000 a day with no coverage anywhere. Volume exceeds open interest on 2027 settlements,...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Altcoin Markets 2026 — SOL, XRP and DOGE

    All forty rungs of Kalshi's settled August XRP book are quoted at exactly 50.0% holding $371,279, and the September successor opened the same way with zero volume. On Polymarket...

    Updated 2026-09-15
  • Waymo and Robotaxi Expansion 2026

    Kalshi turns 45 times Polymarket's volume on the same Waymo city board and quotes it four times wider. Four Polymarket legs carry slugs naming a different city than their title,...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Oklahoma Governor 2026

    The Republican runoff has settled and the general is priced 91.5% to 9.8% on Kalshi against 93.5% to 6.5% on Polymarket—while the two exchanges' margin boards sit fifteen points...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Motorsport Championships 2026 — NASCAR and Formula One

    Kalshi's NASCAR title board sums to 121.5%, Polymarket's to 128.9%, and Polymarket's Formula One board to 97.1%. Reddick at 8.5% is outtrading the 38.5% favourite.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • AI Milestones 2026 — AGI, Millennium Prize and releases

    Kalshi's GPT-6 and Astra ladders have settled; Polymarket's replacements turn under $1,000 a day and one prices October below December. The Navier-Stokes contract at 12.2% is Ma...

    Updated 2026-09-24
  • College Football 2026 — game books, conferences and the Heisman

    SMU at 0.5%, Florida A&M at 0.5% and Kamario Taylor at 0.5% took $1.1M between them today, each topping its board. The live slate has emptied to a $4,692 Rutgers-Boston College ...

    Updated 2026-09-27
  • Corporate Operating Metrics 2026

    Kalshi's operating-metric books turn $115,000 a day and nothing in the catalog covers them. 58% of the California FAIR Plan board bought a 3.5% leg, and Tesla's Q3 delivery ladd...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Climate and Hurricane Season 2026

    The Atlantic naming board finally moved: Isaias at 14% against twenty other names at half a cent, on 284,429 contracts. The market gives 44% to even one major hurricane, and two...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Entertainment Markets 2026 — TV, Streaming, Reviews

    Kalshi's Primetime critic ladder holds seven consecutive rungs at 98-99% while The Uprising's slopes properly. Big Brother's $4.6M board has the favourite at 31% and the money o...

    Updated 2026-09-22
  • MLS Cup and Liga MX Apertura 2026

    The Leagues Cup has settled. MLS Cup sums to 106% across 30 clubs, the Apertura to 113% across 18, and Polymarket's MLS board turned $622 against Kalshi's $26,513.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • European Club Football 2026-27

    Como at 0.5% took 48% of the Champions League board's day and Deportivo at 0.5% took 50% of La Liga's. On Polymarket's EPL board, Hull City at 0.35% is the busiest contract outr...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • UK Politics 2026 — one leadership board, and no flow

    Manifold delisted a second UK leadership board since the last refresh. What survives is one next-PM market with zero open interest, a Polymarket count board that traded nothing ...

    Updated 2026-09-15
  • Gold, Silver and Copper Tracker

    All three Friday metals weeklies settled with no September 11 successors listed. In their place, copper's month-end book put 92% of a $15,400 day into two strikes priced under 6...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Federal legislation trackers 2026

    Thirteen contracts across five Kalshi legislative books are quoted at exactly 50.0%, every one an already-elapsed deadline, and they hold $2,933,148 of open interest between the...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • SpaceX IPO Tracker

    Kalshi and Polymarket both put Anthropic's IPO in the first half of October, jumping 64.5 and 84.5 points across one month. Polymarket prices the listing above the announcement,...

    Updated 2026-09-26
  • US Jobs Report Tracker

    Two days from the August release, Kalshi's cumulative ladder implies 17.0% on a 4.3% print while its exact-value board quotes 9.5%. The year-scale U3 book is inverted twice and ...

    Updated 2026-09-24
  • Largest Company Tracker

    September's board opened at $68,154 with NVIDIA at 90.5%—and 42% of the day bought legs priced at or under 0.8%. Broadcom is being bought at 0.15% for first place while priced a...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Wisconsin Governor 2026 — Crowley vs Tiffany

    Tom Tiffany at 20.5% now holds more of Kalshi's Wisconsin book than David Crowley at 79.5%, and took more than twice the flow. The August recount contract has closed unmarked at...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Trump Administration Turnover 2026

    $746,816 sits on two contracts marked at exactly 50.0%—Karoline Leavitt and Todd Blanche—and Leavitt's has already resolved. Kalshi and Polymarket are 13.5 points apart on Pete ...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • South Carolina Senate 2026 — Graham vs Andrews

    Kalshi prices Graham at 87.5% and Andrews at 13.5%, but the Andrews leg holds $379,504 against the favorite's $257,613. The entire primary stack settled, taking $2.2M of rungs f...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2026 Florida Governor Race

    Donalds is 82.5% to Jolly's 18.5%, and Jolly's price fell while his position grew to $157,842. Three settled primary books still hold $5,955,227 with every rung marked at exactl...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Michigan Senate 2026

    Michigan's open Senate seat across three books—El-Sayed 60.5-62.5%, Rogers 38.5-40.5%—and on both Kalshi books the losing side holds a third more open interest and outtrades the...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Top AI Model Tracker

    Kalshi's year-end AI book holds $5.69M—the deepest contract in this catalog—and spreads it almost evenly from a 66% leg to a 2% leg. Polymarket prices the leader two points high...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • White House Personnel 2026 — Press Secretary and the Cabinet

    Scott Jennings leads the Press Secretary book at 39.5% on both exchanges—but Alina Habba at 3.6% took $31,631, within four thousand dollars of his own leg, and the two timing la...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • NFL Champion 2027 and the Season Books

    Houston at 9.5% takes 47% of Kalshi's AFC championship flow and $398,295 of open interest, the Rams are fourth by money in their own championship book, and Cleveland's Week 1 qu...

    Updated 2026-09-15
  • Stanley Cup 2027

    Kalshi prices Philadelphia 32% to win the East and 2% to win the Cup, and Anaheim 31% to win the West and 4%—while 62% of the outright book's day traded through two teams at 1%.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Next Prime Minister of Israel

    Polymarket turns $98,048 a day on the next Israeli premiership and Kalshi turns $314—and Polymarket's deepest leg is Yair Lapid at two-tenths of one percent, taking 47% of the f...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • NBA Player Movement 2026

    Kalshi prices Steph Curry 96% to stay in Golden State while $2.32M of open interest sits on five destination legs priced at 1–2%—and Bronny's 11% leg outtraded his 86% one.

    Updated 2026-09-16
  • Sports Awards 2026-27

    Five Kalshi award books turned $564k in a day and in four of five the favorite barely traded—Wembanyama at 32% took $45 while a 2% quarterback took $30,386.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2027 French Presidential Election

    Polymarket turns $780,141 a day on the 2027 French race and Kalshi turns $182—and Polymarket's deepest leg is Ségolène Royal at one-tenth of one percent, taking 41% of the flow.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion

    Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold all price Antonelli within three-tenths of a point at 74%—and Polymarket's deepest leg of the day is Oscar Piastri at 0.2%, taking a third of the...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Ballon d'Or 2026

    Kane is 61%, 63% and 60% across three venues—and each real-money book put its deepest leg of the day on a different longshot: Messi at 2.3% and Mbappé at 7%.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • North Carolina Senate 2026

    Cooper prices 92.7% on a book that turns over $1,636 a day while carrying $1.24M of open interest—and 82% of its resting depth sits outside two-to-ninety-eight cents. What 'deep...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Iowa Senate 2026

    Iowa is the live one—Hinson 58% to Turek 42%—but Kalshi lists it three times and gets 57%, 58% and 64%, and the combo book's modal outcome is a Sand-Hinson split ticket at 37%.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Georgia Senate 2026

    Ossoff prices 91% to hold Georgia—while 85% of the day's flow and three times the open interest sit on Collins at 8.5%, and Kalshi ranks Georgia third-least-likely to be the cyc...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Ohio Senate Special 2026

    Sherrod Brown against Jon Husted for JD Vance's old seat—the second-deepest Senate book on prediction markets, and the only one where Kalshi and Polymarket disagree about which ...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • World Leader Turnover 2026

    Two exchanges price which heads of government fall before 2027—and $73,525, sixty percent of the Putin book, sits on a leg the market gives less than one chance in a hundred.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Powell at the Fed

    Warsh is chair and Powell keeps a governor's seat—a whole complex that turned over $709 in a day, with a forty-five point step between the January and June 2027 departure legs a...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Tennessee Governor 2026

    Post-primary Tennessee—Blackburn at 96% against Jerri Green with the primary books delisted, and a general election, margin ladder and turnout ladder that have all traded exactl...

    Updated 2026-09-13
  • 2026 Maine Senate Race

    Kalshi's Maine Senate books disagree by twelve points on the same question—Jackson at 66% on the party book, 64% by name, 54% on the margin ladder—while 91% of the day's flow si...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2028 Democratic Nomination — Cross-Exchange

    AOC leads the 2028 Democratic nomination at 17% on Kalshi and 20.1% on Polymarket, Jon Ossoff has climbed into a tie for second, and Andy Beshear at 3.8% carries twice the daily...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2027 College Football National Championship

    Five nested Kalshi books turn over $3.15M a day and yield a round-by-round survival curve for every team. Two of them—Texas Tech and Penn State—are priced to reach a final they ...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Venezuela leader 2026 — office vs power

    Kalshi lists two Venezuela leader books settling the same week that disagree completely—Maduro 79% to officially lead, Delcy Rodríguez 88% to de facto lead—while Polymarket's si...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • MLB World Series Champion 2026

    Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 MLB World Series—the Dodgers at 36.9% against a wide-open American League, an internally inconsistent pennant-versus-championship pair, the C...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Texas Senate 2026

    Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 Texas Senate race—Talarico has taken the lead from Paxton on both Kalshi and Polymarket while the money stays on Paxton, plus margin ladders,...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Nobel Peace Prize 2026

    Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize—Polymarket favoring individuals with Navalnaya at 9%, Kalshi favoring organizations with Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms a...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Hantavirus Pandemic 2026

    Cross-exchange tracker for 2026 hantavirus pandemic risk—Polymarket and Kalshi headline Singles now trading below generic pandemic risk, plus the open MV Hondius origin question...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Ohio Governor 2026

    Post-primary tracker for the November 3, 2026 Ohio open-seat governor race—Vivek Ramaswamy against Amy Acton, with Kalshi and Polymarket now naming different favorites in a race...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2027 College Basketball Champion

    Kalshi's 2026-27 men's college basketball title book—73 teams, Florida and Duke tied at the top near 12.5%, and the flattest championship field on prediction markets—plus the wo...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • 2027 Oscars — Best Picture

    Cross-exchange tracker for the 99th Academy Awards Best Picture race—Kalshi's full-field winner book alongside Manifold's independent read, plus the nomination markets that set ...

    Updated 2026-09-15
  • Middle East Escalation Tracker

    Polymarket prices a US announcement ending the Iranian blockade at 11% by September 30 and 62.3% by December 31, while both ceasefire boards hold above 88% through the month and...

    Updated 2026-09-25
  • September 2026 CPI Release

    August CPI printed 3.4% headline and 2.4% core, each a tick above where Kalshi's cumulative chain centred—the fifth upside miss in two releases. The stack has rolled to the Sept...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • FOMC Tracker

    The Fed hiked 25bp on September 16 and October 28 is a coin flip—hold 55%, another 25bp 45% on Kalshi, with Polymarket within a point on $3.0M a day.

    Updated 2026-09-17
  • Golf Tour Books 2026 — St Andrews and the 2027 Masters

    Team USA won the Presidents Cup on a $2.25M final Kalshi day; the weekly slot moves to the Alfred Dunhill Links, Fleetwood 12.5%, beside Scheffler at 29% for the 2027 Masters.

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • UEFA Champions League 2026-27

    Polymarket turns $1.07M on the 2027 Champions League against Kalshi's $30,605—and Real Madrid at 11.5% is the deepest leg on both books while Barcelona leads on price.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Golf 2026 — a settled book at 50.0%, and the 2027 board

    $99,801 traded on the Ally Challenge with all 85 names reading exactly 50.0% on a settled tournament. No American golf tournament is listed on any supported exchange, and $173,5...

    Updated 2026-09-28
  • Los Angeles Mayor 2026 — Bass vs Raman Runoff

    The November 3 LA mayoral runoff—Bass at 63.5% against Raman across Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold, on $352k a day, the deepest municipal race book on the board.

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Tracker

    88% of the ceasefire book's volume sits on an August 31 rung priced at 1.8%, the 2027 rungs at 41% and 56% have taken nothing, and NATO-Russia clash by year end prices above a c...

    Updated 2026-09-12
  • ITF Men's Tennis 2026 — the futures tier

    Two ITF boards are quoting 50 cents a side with last prints at 99 and 1, and on the decided boards the 0.5% leg keeps taking 40% of the money.

    Updated 2026-09-28