F1 Race Books 2026

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

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The Singapore Grand Prix books are open, and both exchanges make Max Verstappen the favorite: 43.5% on Kalshi and 42% on Polymarket, ahead of Kimi Antonelli at 15.5% and 14%. Kalshi's race book, left, turned $141,563 today and Polymarket's, right, $81,159; the race is Sunday, October 11, with a sprint on Saturday.

The championship is all but decided. Kalshi prices Antonelli at 95.5% for the drivers' title, up from 92.5% after Baku, and Polymarket at 96.5%. Mercedes is 98% and 98.8% for constructors.

Kalshi's drivers' board settles December 8 and turns $31,219 a day against 4.57M contracts of open interest; Polymarket's turns $40,151. Both put Antonelli above 95%, a point apart, and nobody else above 2%: Charles Leclerc is second on Kalshi at 2%, and Russell and Verstappen share second on Polymarket at 0.85%.

A race win bought Russell little that lasted. His title leg is 1.5% on Kalshi and 0.85% on Polymarket, from 5.5% and 5.2% after Baku, on $1,058 and $3,607 of the day. He now trails Leclerc on Kalshi and shares second with Verstappen on Polymarket. Both legs below, side by side.

Left: Polymarket's constructors' board, $4,729 today, with Mercedes at 98.8% and Ferrari at 0.75%. Right: Manifold's drivers' board, which carries no real money but prices Antonelli at 94.65% and Russell at 1.65%, within two points of both real-money venues.

Kalshi's constructors' board has Mercedes at 98% on $5,000, within a point of Polymarket: the title is priced as settled in all but name. Beside it, Polymarket asks whether Max Verstappen retires from F1 in 2026: 3.4%, untraded today. Verstappen's drivers'-title legs, 1% on Kalshi and 0.85% on Polymarket, were each book's busiest, $20,853 and $22,773.

Sunday, October 11: the Singapore Grand Prix. Verstappen at 43.5% on Kalshi and 42% on Polymarket; the race books settle after the checkered flag.

Watch the race books, not the title. At 95.5% and 96.5% the drivers' title can only drift, and Mercedes is 98% for constructors.

Watch the Verstappen money. His title leg at about 1% was the busiest on both books again. If it keeps repeating, it is structural.