Climate and Hurricane Season 2026

The monthly heat contract prices November. November 2026 as the hottest November on record is 91% on $760 in 24 hours, with $4,667 open; it settles December 8.

The hurricane boards are quiet, with the Atlantic season ending November 30. More than one major Atlantic hurricane is 2.5%, and more than two 2%, on $212; the Atlantic count board drew no trade in the past day, with every rung from above four up at 1%.

The East Pacific count board's above ten rung is 14.5%, on $42 of trade; above eleven is 5%.

November 2026 as the hottest November on record trades 91% on $760 in 24 hours with $4,667 open; it is listed to settle Tuesday, December 8, at 10am ET, on NOAA's monthly print. This row carries the one contract.

The season as the market prices it, with the Atlantic season ending November 30. Above four Atlantic hurricanes is 1%, and above five through above eight are also 1%; the count board drew no trade in 24 hours and holds $43,480 open. On the major-hurricane board, above one is 2.5%, with above two at 2% and above three at 1%, on $212, most of it on above one, with $81,545 open. Both boards settle Wednesday, December 2.

Left, Kalshi's East Pacific count: above ten hurricanes is 14.5%, with above eleven at 5%, and above twelve and above thirteen at 1%, on $42 of trade, all of it on above ten. The open question is still whether the season tops ten hurricanes.

Beside it, the board on which named storms become hurricanes took $17 of trade in 24 hours, $15 of it on Yolanda, at 32.5%; Winnie leads at 56.5%, Xavier is 8% and Zeke 3%. Lowell, at 5.5%, holds $6,307 of open interest, more than any other name shown.

The Hawaii landfall contract and Kalshi's Oklahoma City temperature board.

A hurricane landfall in Hawaii before 2027 is 1%, on $1,027, with $52,297 open. Oklahoma City's board now prices the November 13 high: 55° to 56° leads at 62.5%, with 57° to 58° at 28.5%, 54° or below 7.5%, 59° to 60° 1.5% and 61° to 62° 1%, on $3,199; 54° or below drew the most, $826. It is listed to settle Saturday, November 14 at 3pm ET on the recorded high and then rolls to the next day.

The Atlantic season ends November 30; the East Pacific boards settle December 1 and the Atlantic boards December 2. November's temperature contract is listed to settle Tuesday, December 8.

• November as the hottest on record at 91% ahead of NOAA's print.
• More than one major Atlantic hurricane at 2.5%, and more than two at 2%.
• Above four Atlantic hurricanes at 1%: the market prices four or fewer Atlantic hurricanes.
• More than ten East Pacific hurricanes at 14.5%, with Winnie at 56.5% on the names board.
• Oklahoma City's November 13 high, with 55° to 56° at 62.5%, listed to settle November 14.