Largest Company Tracker

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

December 31 is the only live horizon for the world's largest company, and the two-company race has flipped. Polymarket prices Apple at 73.4%, up from 42.35% on October 31, and NVIDIA at 24.5%, down from 56%; Microsoft is 1.9% and Alphabet 0.75%. Manifold's end-of-2026 board agrees within about a point and a half: Apple 74.74%, NVIDIA 23.66%.

The money is on the trailing leg. December turned $104,290 in the past day. NVIDIA's leg was the busiest at $40,672, then Alphabet at 0.75% with $21,197, Apple $13,077, Microsoft $9,924 and SpaceX at 0.15% with $7,316.

Second and third line up behind it. NVIDIA is 55% to finish second, with Microsoft 18.65% and Apple 18.5%, and Microsoft is 54% to finish third.

Two books on the same question, December 31. Polymarket: Apple 73.4%, NVIDIA 24.5%, Microsoft 1.9%, on $104,290 in the past day. Manifold: Apple 74.74%, NVIDIA 23.66%, Microsoft 0.62%, on 2,657 of play money.

Apple's December leg is priced at 73.4% and took $13,077. NVIDIA's is priced at 24.5% and took $40,672. Apple now leads by 48.9 points, after trailing by 13.65 on October 31, and the trailing leg draws about three times the leader's money.

Second place leans NVIDIA at 55%, with Microsoft 18.65%, Apple 18.5% and Alphabet 7%. Third is Microsoft's at 54%, with NVIDIA 20.2%, Alphabet 16% and Apple 3.6%. Read with first place, the boards describe Apple, then NVIDIA, then Microsoft. The third-place book was busier in the past day, $4,859 against $2,493 for second, with $1,858 on Microsoft's leg.

All on Manifold. 2028: Apple 20.53%, Nvidia 16.84%, Alphabet 13.39%, Microsoft 9.32%, Anthropic 7.23%. Largest 2026 IPO: SpaceX has pulled well ahead, 91.85% against Anthropic 8.09%. Still in the top seven at year end: Apple 98.97% through Amazon 89.84%.

  • Apple at 73.4%, NVIDIA at 24.5%, a 48.9-point lead for Apple, after NVIDIA led by 13.65 points on October 31.
  • Second place leans NVIDIA at 55%, with Microsoft and Apple near 18.5% each.
  • Microsoft holds third, at 54%, with NVIDIA 20.2% and Alphabet 16%.
  • Polymarket and Manifold agree within about a point and a half on both leading legs.
  • The IPO board has widened: SpaceX 91.85% against Anthropic 8.09% for 2026's largest listing.
  • The page runs to December 31; no monthly board replaced September's.