Largest Company Tracker

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

The September boards have closed and December 31 is the only live horizon for the world's largest company. Polymarket prices NVIDIA at 79.5% and Apple at 15.55%, with Alphabet at 5.5%. Manifold's end-of-2026 board agrees within two points: NVIDIA 78%, Apple 14.8%.

The money is not on the leader. December turned $29,877 today, and the busiest leg was SpaceX at 0.5%, $14,021, nearly half the day. Apple took $4,527, Microsoft at 0.65% took $3,383, and NVIDIA took $2,313.

Second and third place are clearer than first. Apple is 71% to finish second, and Alphabet 59.5% to finish third.

Two books on the same question, December 31. Polymarket: NVIDIA 79.5%, Apple 15.55%, Alphabet 5.5%, on $29,877 today. Manifold: NVIDIA 78%, Apple 14.8%, Alphabet 5%, essentially untraded.

NVIDIA's December leg is quoted 79–80 and took $2,313. Apple's is quoted 15.5–15.6 and took $4,527: twice the money at a fifth of the price. The flow on this board runs to the challenger and the longshots, not the favorite.

Second place is Apple's at 71%, with Alphabet 13.5% and NVIDIA 11.5%. Third is Alphabet's at 59.5%, Microsoft 22.5%, Apple 14.5%. Read with first place, the boards describe NVIDIA, Apple, Alphabet, with Microsoft the one name that could break into the top three. Both books are thin: about $1,000 a day each.

All on Manifold, and essentially untraded. 2028: Nvidia 19.3%, Alphabet 14.3%, Apple 12.4%, Anthropic 10.9%, OpenAI 8.5%. Largest 2026 IPO: SpaceX 54.7%, Anthropic 45.0%. Still in the top seven at year end: NVIDIA 97.5% through Amazon 88.4%, then Broadcom at 13.1%.

  • SpaceX at 0.5% took $14,021, almost half of December's day. It is the clearest longshot flow on the board.
  • Apple outtrades NVIDIA two to one on December, at a fifth of the price.
  • Microsoft is the swing name: 0.65% for first, 4.3% for second, 22.5% for third.
  • Polymarket and Manifold agree within two points on every top-three leg.
  • The IPO board is close: SpaceX 54.7% against Anthropic 45.0% for 2026's largest listing.
  • The page now runs to December 31; no monthly board replaced September's.