Anthropic IPO 2026

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

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Nasdaq's trader notice puts Anthropic's Class A shares on the Global Select Market under ANT from November 19, and Polymarket's date book agrees: November 19 is 85.45%, November 20 7.2% and No IPO by November 30 2.3%.

The money is on how big it closes. Polymarket's closing market cap board turned $795,871 in a day on $603,577 of open interest. $1.25–1.5T leads at 36.25%, ahead of $1.5–1.75T at 27.15%, under $1.25T at 19.15% and $1.75–2.0T at 13.95%. The under-$1.25T leg took the most money, $192,825.

This page follows listing day: the closing market cap on three boards, the valuation at the offer, the date, and where Anthropic stands among 2026's listings.

Polymarket splits the close across two boards. The middle-bracket board puts 1.2–1.5T at 37.25%, 1.5–1.8T at 28.8% and 1.8T+ at 17%. Manifold's ladder reads higher at the top: 1.5 trillion or higher 65%, 1.8 trillion or higher 33% and 2 trillion or higher 10%.

The open strike is $1.5T. Polymarket's above $1.5T is 43.85%, against Manifold's 1.5 trillion or higher at 65%, a 21-point gap on the same threshold. One rung up, Polymarket's above $1.75T is 16.5%.

The offer valuation splits almost evenly. Polymarket has $1.50–1.75T at 46.6% and $1.25–1.50T at 45.65%, on $47,040 in a day. Kalshi's announcement book has Before Dec 1, 2026 at 97.5%. On Polymarket's largest-2026-IPO board, SpaceX leads at 87.9% and Anthropic is 10.5%.

  • The close on November 19. The market cap boards settle on the close of the first trading day; a slip moves the date book first, where November 20 is 7.2%.
  • The $1.5T line. Polymarket prices a close above it at 43.85%, Manifold at 65%.
  • The offer price. The valuation board is split 46.6% to 45.65% between $1.50–1.75T and $1.25–1.50T; a final price range would move every board on this page.
  • The low tail. Under $1.25T is 19.15% and drew the most money in the past day, $192,825.