Top-Flight Soccer 2026-27 — Title Races and Game Books

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

The Premier League title race has swung back to Arsenal. Kalshi's board has Arsenal at 62.5% and Manchester City at 19.5%; Polymarket has 60.5% and 19.5%. When this page was last written, both books had Arsenal at 48% and City at 39% to 41%.

This page runs on the season boards: the two title races, the Champions League, and the individual awards. The game books return when the next round of fixtures lists on both venues.

Kalshi turns $7,028 on $4.13M of open interest; Polymarket turns $18,367 on $2.16M. Arsenal is 62.5% on Kalshi and 60.5% on Polymarket; City is 19.5% on both, with Liverpool at 6.5% and 6.75% and Chelsea at 4.5% and 4.2%.

The favorite's leg on each venue, side by side. Two points apart on a race that settles in May; less than three weeks ago the same two books had Arsenal level at 48%.

Barcelona is 80% on Kalshi and 81.5% on Polymarket; Real Madrid 18.5% and 16.5%. The flow has flipped since the last read: Kalshi's board turned $20,084 against Polymarket's $2,920, and $14,380 of Kalshi's day went to Atlético Madrid at 3.5%.

Kalshi's Ballon d'Or board has Harry Kane at 55.5% and Lamine Yamal at 36.5%, up from 23%, on $8.45M of open interest, the deepest book on the page by a distance, and $277,352 of daily flow. The busiest leg was Lionel Messi at 4.5%, $92,714. Polymarket's Premier League Golden Boot has Erling Haaland at 58.5%, with João Pedro at 14% and Alexander Isak at 11.5%.

Barcelona leads both boards, 24.5% on Kalshi and 22.5% on Polymarket. Behind it, Bayern, Arsenal, PSG and Real Madrid sit between 10.5% and 14.5% on both. Polymarket's board is the busiest soccer book on either venue today at $562,618; Kalshi's carries more standing paper, $2.77M of open interest.

The title boards settle at the end of May and the Ballon d'Or on January 1; the game books return to this page when the next round lists.

  • Whether Arsenal holds above 60%. The price fell nine points in a few days in September and has since gained about fourteen.
  • City at 19.5% on both venues. Half its price of three weeks ago.
  • Yamal's Ballon d'Or price. 36.5%, up from 23%, against Kane's 55.5%.