Top-Flight Soccer 2026-27 — Title Races and Game Books

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

Both venues have marked Arsenal down nine points since this page was last written. Kalshi's Premier League board had Arsenal at 57% and Manchester City at 33%; it now reads 48% against 41%. Polymarket moved from 56% and 30% to 48% against 39%. Two order books that share nothing landed on the same Arsenal price to the point.

The weekend's fixtures have settled and the next round is not yet listed on either venue, so this page runs on the season boards until the game books open: the two title races, the Champions League, and the individual awards.

Kalshi turns $128,328 on $3.40M of open interest; Polymarket turns $135,318 on $1.99M. Arsenal is 48% on both. City is 41% on Kalshi and 39% on Polymarket, the only two-point gap on the board, with Liverpool at 6% and 5%.

The favourite's leg on each venue, side by side. A coin flip on a race that settles in May, and a price both books reached independently after the same run of results.

Barcelona is 77% on Kalshi and 78% on Polymarket; Real Madrid 23% and 19%. Polymarket's board turned $299,509 against Kalshi's $38,655—eight times the flow on a price that differs by a point. Real Madrid's four-point gap is the widest spread between the two venues anywhere on this page.

Kalshi's Ballon d'Or board has Harry Kane at 57% and Lamine Yamal at 23% on $5.73M of open interest—the deepest book on the page by a distance, on $90,876 of daily flow. Polymarket's Premier League Golden Boot has Erling Haaland at 67%, with João Pedro and Alexander Isak at 14% and 13%.

Barcelona leads both boards, 25% on Kalshi and 22% on Polymarket. Behind it, Bayern, Arsenal, Real Madrid and PSG sit between 12% and 14% on both. Polymarket's board is the busiest soccer book on either venue today at $713,114; Kalshi's carries more standing paper, $2.55M of open interest.

The next round of league fixtures has not been listed yet; the game books return to this page when it is. The title boards settle at the end of May and the Ballon d'Or on January 1.

  • Whether Arsenal's 48% keeps falling. Nine points in a few days is a large move for a season board with nine months to run.
  • City's two-point gap. 41% on Kalshi against 39% on Polymarket is the one place the two Premier League books disagree.
  • Real Madrid in La Liga. 23% against 19% on a board where Polymarket carries eight times the flow.