Top-Flight Soccer 2026-27 — Title Races and Game Books

The Premier League title race has moved further toward Arsenal. Kalshi's board has Arsenal at 70.5% and Manchester City at 11.5%; Polymarket has 69.5% and 10.5%. When this page was last written, the two books had Arsenal at 66.5% and 66%, and City at 17.5% and 12.5%.

This page runs on the season boards: the two title races, the Premier League Golden Boot and the Champions League. The game books return when the next round of fixtures lists on both venues.

Kalshi turns $7,297 on $4.36M of open interest; Polymarket turns $43,232 on $2.21M. Arsenal is 70.5% on Kalshi and 69.5% on Polymarket; City is 11.5% and 10.5%, Brighton 7.5% and 6.85%, Liverpool 5.5% and 5.75% and Chelsea 3.5% and 3.65%. Polymarket's busiest leg was Arsenal, $10,345; Kalshi's was City, $2,605.

The favorite's leg on each venue, side by side. One point apart on a race that settles at the end of May; the same two books had Arsenal at 66.5% and 66% when this page was last written.

Barcelona is 68% on Kalshi and 67.5% on Polymarket; Real Madrid 26% and 25.5%, up from 21.5% on both. The day was quieter, $4,047 on Kalshi and $5,189 on Polymarket, and Kalshi's money again went to the challengers: $2,562 on Real Madrid and $1,068 on Atlético Madrid, which Kalshi prices at 4.5% and Polymarket at 4.25%.

Polymarket's Premier League top-goalscorer board has Erling Haaland at 68.5%, with Alexander Isak at 10.5%, João Pedro at 5.9% and Nicolas Jackson at 5%, on $1,974 in a day. Nearly all of it, $1,944, went on Jackson. The board settles by mid-June.

Barcelona leads both boards, 20.5% on Kalshi and 23.5% on Polymarket, with PSG second at 17.5% and 18.5%. Behind them, Real Madrid is 14% and 14.5%, Arsenal 13.5% and 14.5%, and Bayern 13.5% and 12.5%. Polymarket's board is the busiest soccer book on the page at $567,929; Kalshi's carries more standing paper, $4.17M of open interest, and its day's trade went mostly to Real Madrid, $26,230, and PSG, $22,935.

Kalshi's league title boards settle in late May and the Champions League boards in June; the game books return to this page when the next round lists.

• Whether Arsenal holds above 70%. 70.5% on Kalshi and 69.5% on Polymarket.
• City's slide. 11.5% on Kalshi and 10.5% on Polymarket, with Brighton next at 7.5% and 6.85%.
• Real Madrid's climb on the La Liga boards, 26% and 25.5% against Barcelona's 68% and 67.5%.
• The Champions League pack. Barcelona 20.5% to 23.5%, PSG 17.5% to 18.5%, three more clubs between 12.5% and 14.5%.
• Haaland's Golden Boot price. 68.5%, with Isak at 10.5%.