Gold, Silver and Copper Tracker

Kalshi's Friday metals weeklies have rolled: all three now settle October 9 at 5:00 PM ET, and the new books have barely traded. Gold's has turned $212, silver's $331 and copper's $11.

Copper is the one ladder with a visible centre: Above $6.51 is 58% and Above $6.54 52%, the rung nearest a coin flip. Gold is priced 96.5% or higher on every rung through Above $3,941.99, and silver 87% or higher through Above $57.99; neither book has traded where its ladder crosses 50%.

Polymarket prices the same metals as touch boards: where gold and silver trade during October, and whether gold reaches a level by year end. Those carry the page's volume this weekend, $10,960 on gold's October board and $12,128 on silver's.

Next Friday's close on Kalshi, October's high and low on Polymarket, then year end on both. Polymarket's October board prices both a dip to $4,100 (83.5%) and a touch of $4,200 (76.5%) as likely. Read the touch boards against the close ladders: a touch only has to happen once, so it should price above the matching close.

Silver's new Kalshi weekly is priced 87% or higher through Above $57.99. Polymarket's October board prices ↑ $62 at 76.5%, ↑ $64 at 59.3% and ↓ $58 at 70%: a wide month in both directions. Copper has no second exchange, so its weekly ladder stands alone below.

Above $6.54, priced 52%, is the rung nearest even on copper's October 9 ladder; the book has turned $11, so read it as an opening line rather than a traded price. Beside it, Polymarket's silver board for the week of October 5 has turned $489: ↑ $62 at 74%, ↑ $63 at 64% and ↑ $61 at 61.5%, three rungs out of order on a board that has hardly traded.

Friday, October 9 at 5:00 PM ET. All three Kalshi weeklies settle together. The books are a day old; the rungs near the price will fill in as the week trades.

Close against touch. Polymarket's December board prices gold touching $5,000 at 28.5%, while Kalshi's year-end ladder gives a close at $4,700 or above 12%. The gap between the two is the price of the path.

Where the year-end money sits. 4,300 or above (49.5%) and 4,400 or above (48%) hold 28,773 and 20,463 contracts of open interest, the deepest positions on the page. The 4,400 rung was 31.5% when the last weeklies listed.

Silver's month. Polymarket prices ↑ $64 at 59.3% and ↓ $56 at 55% for October.

The weeklies roll every Friday; this page moves to the next one each week.