Corporate Operating Metrics 2026

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

Kalshi lists a family of contracts on company and infrastructure operating data: airplane deliveries, vehicle sales, port container volume, transit ridership. Its NYC subway board asks whether ridership reaches its pre-Covid average, settling January 1, 2027. Tesla's, Ford's and Boeing's quarterly boards price the first quarter of 2027.

Boeing's 2026 delivery ladder leads the page and took most of the day's money, $5,432. Above 600 is 93.5%, Above 620 90% and Above 630 69.5%, with $1,545 of the trade on that rung, so the ladder's open question sits above the rungs shown.

The subway board turned $521. It lists two levels: 4.19 million at 52%, down from 91.5% and now close to even, and 4.65 million at 2.5%.

Everything else is thin. Tesla's Q1 2027 ladder turned $196, and South Carolina's ports board, Ford's two boards and Boeing's Q1 2027 board nothing. The family turned about $6,150 in the past day.

Flow on these boards has followed the reporting calendar: busy into a release, quiet after it.

The board the page leads with. Boeing's 2026 delivery ladder settles January 31, 2028; it turned $5,432 in the past day and holds $41,468 of open interest. Above 560 is 96.5%, Above 580 94.5%, Above 600 93.5%, Above 620 90% and Above 630 69.5%, the highest rung shown, so the open question sits above it. Above 630 took $1,545 of the day's trade; most of the rest went to rungs beyond those shown.

Ford, quarterly and annual. The Q1 2027 board was untraded in the past day: Above 450 thousand is 73.5%, Above 460 thousand 57.5% and Above 470 thousand 40.5%, so the quarter is priced to land a little above 460,000 vehicles; Above 480,000 is 33.5% and Above 490,000 25.5%. The annual board was untraded too and prices Above 2 million at 85.5%, with Above 1.95 million at 95%.

Both settle long after the numbers are public: the Q1 board on July 31, 2027 and the annual board on January 31, 2028.

The consumer-vehicle board. Tesla's Q1 2027 delivery ladder turned $196 and holds $19,082 of open interest: Above 300,000 and Above 325,000 both at 94%, Above 350,000 at 84%, Above 375,000 at 76.5% and Above 400,000 at 64%, the rung nearest even of those shown. Most of the day's trade, $190, went to the 350,000 rung. The board settles July 31, 2027.

Infrastructure, where the same template produces very different markets. South Carolina's 2026 port board was untraded in the past day: Above 2.4 million TEUs is 43.5%, the rung nearest even, Above 2.3 million 87.5% and Above 2.5 million 15.5%. It holds $11,027 of open interest.

The NYC subway board asks whether ridership reaches its pre-Covid average, settling January 1, 2027: 4.19 million is 52%, down from 91.5%, on $521 with $5,088 open, and 4.65 million 2.5%, untraded. Below, Boeing's Q1 2027 delivery board, untraded in the past day: Above 100 at 94%, Above 140 at 82%, Above 150 at 72% and Above 160 at 51%, the rung nearest even; Above 110 shows no price.

Boeing's 2026 delivery ladder leads the page and settles January 31, 2028. The NYC subway board settles January 1, 2027, South Carolina's ports board February 7, 2027, the Q1 2027 Ford and Tesla boards July 31, 2027, Boeing's Q1 2027 board November 28, 2027, and Ford's annual board January 31, 2028.

  • Boeing above 630 at 69.5% for 2026 deliveries, the highest rung shown, on a $5,432 day.
  • NYC subway ridership at 4.19 million at 52%, with 4.65 million at 2.5%.
  • South Carolina ports above 2.4 million TEUs at 43.5%, the rung nearest even.
  • Tesla's 400,000 rung for Q1 2027 at 64%.
  • Ford above 2 million for 2026 at 85.5%.
  • Whether flow spreads. Boeing's 2026 ladder took about $5,400 of the family's roughly $6,150 in the past day.