Entertainment Markets 2026 — TV, Streaming, Reviews

Kalshi's ladder on The Social Reckoning's Rotten Tomatoes score has repriced by more than twenty points. Above 70, the pivot rung at 55.5% a day ago, is 2.5%; Above 65 is 5.5% and Above 60 17%. The weight now sits between Above 45 at 64% and Above 50 at 39.5%, so the market has the score in the high 40s. The ladder turned $233,405, up from $9,081.

Other Mommy has drifted lower and stayed quiet by comparison. Above 45 is 59.5% and Above 50 50.5%, where Above 55 was the even rung a day ago, on $42,526. Both ladders settle Monday, October 12.

The Warner Brothers takeover book has closed and leaves the page. Paramount stood at 99% when it was last read.

The longer books below barely traded: the Dune: Part Three against Avengers: Doomsday head-to-head, the AI-series board and the Doomsday cast board.

Left, The Social Reckoning, $233,405: Above 45 at 64%, Above 50 at 39.5%, Above 55 at 27.5% and Above 60 at 17%. The busiest rungs shown are the ones it has fallen through, Above 65 at 5.5% on $26,981 and Above 70 at 2.5% on $21,232. Right, Other Mommy, $42,526: Above 40 at 66.5%, Above 45 at 59.5% and Above 50 at 50.5%, a flatter ladder with the score priced near 50.

The head-to-head sits eleven weeks out, on Dune: Part Three against Avengers: Doomsday in December. It prices Dune at 85% and Avengers at 20%, summing to 105%, and 90% of the open interest sits on the Avengers side: 2,988 against 304. It traded $10 today, all of it on Avengers.

Beside it, The Social Reckoning's new pivot contract: Above 50 at 39.5%, on 22,201 of open interest. The spotlight has moved down from Above 70, which is 2.5%.

Two long-dated industry books. Which companies release a fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027 puts Amazon in front at 17%, with Netflix at 7.5% and Disney at 5.5%, a question priced on very little flow, $15 today, with 47,033 of open interest on Amazon.

Beside it, the Avengers: Doomsday cast board, which prices Hugh Jackman's return and Ryan Reynolds's at 94.5% each and Benedict Cumberbatch's at 92%. Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man, at 94%, holds the most open interest of the leading legs, 35,538. The board turned $4,283.

The Social Reckoning and Other Mommy settle Monday, October 12. Above 50 at 39.5% on the first and Above 50 at 50.5% on the second are the rungs in doubt.

The Social Reckoning's fall. Twenty points lower in a day on $233,405: the ladder has repriced sharply, and it can move again before Monday.

The Dune–Avengers head-to-head is barely trading. $10 on the day, eleven weeks to settlement, and an 85/20 split. It will wake up when the first reviews land in December.

The AI-series board has Amazon at 17% with under three months to run.