US Energy Complex 2026 — gas, diesel and Texas power

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

Kalshi's October 9 gas ladder, settling at 5:00 PM ET Friday, anchors the page. Its midpoint has climbed back a dime: Above $3.299 is 94.5%, up from 47.5%, and Above $3.399 has risen from 20.5% to 36.5%, so the book now puts Henry Hub between $3.30 and $3.40, nearer the top. The ladder has turned $66,609 in the last 24 hours.

Polymarket's touch board for the week has printed ↑ $3.20 at 99.9%; its other legs are thinly quoted, on $6,485.

Kalshi's diesel daily has rolled to the next print, near-certain through Above $6.245 with Above $6.26 at 82%, on $12,612; the weekly prices Above $6.20 at 97.5%. The Texas ERCOT 2026 peak board is idle, every strike from 91,500 MW up at 3.5% or less.

Left, Kalshi's October 9 ladder: Above $3.199 at 96% and Above $3.299 at 94.5%, with Above $3.399 at 36.5% the open question. Right, Polymarket's touch board for the week of October 5, $6,485: ↑ $3.20 has printed at 99.9%, and its downside legs, ↓ $2.80 and ↓ $2.90, sit near 47% on no volume today.

Above $3.299, yesterday's rung nearest even, is now 94.5%, on $3,938; the open question has moved up to Above $3.399, further down the page. Polymarket's direction contract for Friday, October 9, is quoted at 95% for up, on $38.

The diesel weekly covers the week of October 12 and has turned $14,847: Above $6.14 at 99%, and Above $6.16 through Above $6.20 at 97.5%. The daily board has rolled to the next print, $12,612 today: near-certain through Above $6.245, with Above $6.26 at 82%.

Above $3.199 at 96%, on $3,372, and Above $3.399 at 36.5%, on $2,266, bracket the ladder; the open rung is now the upper one, after Henry Hub climbed back from about $3.30.

ERCOT's 2026 peak board prices every strike from 91,500 MW up at 3.5% or less, on $1,875 today. The daily peak book has rolled to October 9's demand, $5,433 today, with every strike through Above 72,000 MW at 95.5% or more; it settles October 16.

Friday, October 9 at 5:00 PM ET. Kalshi's gas ladder settles; Henry Hub sits between $3.30 and $3.40, with Above $3.399 at 36.5%.

Polymarket's week board settles an hour later, with ↑ $3.20 already printed.

Diesel. The weekly prices Above $6.20 at 97.5% and settles October 19.

Texas peak demand. With summer over, the 2026 peak rungs above 91,500 MW are running down to zero.