Bitcoin Short-Horizon Books 2026

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

Bitcoin is holding near $82,800. Kalshi's range board for Friday at 5pm ET puts 37% on $82,500 to $82,999.99, with $83,000 to $83,499.99 at 24% and $82,000 to $82,499.99 at 20%; its ladder is the busiest book on the page at $1,478,878 today.

Polymarket's boards have rolled to Saturday noon: 82,000 at 86.5% and 84,000 at 11.5%, on $167,693.

The week board still leans to the upside. A touch of ↑ 84,000 by October 11 prices 46.5%, while ↓ 80,000 has fallen from 16.5% to 7.5%. It turned $403,928.

Kalshi's ladder asks where bitcoin closes Friday at 5pm ET; Polymarket's now asks about Saturday at noon ET. The two can disagree without either being wrong, and today they line up: Kalshi's range board centers on $82,500 to $83,000, and Polymarket's 82,000 sits at 86.5% a day later.

Left, 82,000 at 86.5%, $12,698 today: about six in seven that Saturday's noon print clears the level. Right, 84,000 at 11.5%, the busier rung at $19,209. Kalshi's Friday range board fills in the space between: $82,500 to $82,999.99 is 37%.

Polymarket's categorical board puts Saturday's noon print at 76.5% on 82,000–84,000, with 80,000–82,000 at 12.05% and 84,000–86,000 at 11%, on $12,100. Kalshi's range ladder for Friday cuts the space into $500 buckets, on $39,341: $82,500 to $82,999.99 leads at 37%, with $83,000 to $83,499.99 at 24% and $82,000 to $82,499.99 at 20%.

Polymarket's direction contract has rolled to Saturday and opens at 55.5% for up, on $4,458: close to even, as a new day's contract usually is.

The day boards ask where bitcoin closes; the touch boards ask whether it ever prints a level. Left, Kalshi's ladder on when bitcoin next crosses $100,000: before November 5.5%, before December 17.5% and before January 2027 29.5%, on $11,118. Right, Polymarket's week board to October 11, $403,928 today: ↑ 84,000 at 46.5%; the busiest legs are the downside touches, ↓ 78,000 at 2.2% on $92,496 and ↓ 80,000 at 7.5% on $78,208.

  • Friday at 5pm ET. Kalshi's ladder centers between $82,500 and $83,000.
  • Saturday at noon ET. Polymarket's boards settle, with 82,000 at 86.5% and 84,000 at 11.5%.
  • $84,000 this week. A touch prices 46.5%, and $80,000 on the downside 7.5%; the board settles at the end of Sunday, October 11.
  • $100,000 by year end at 29.5% on Kalshi, with before December at 17.5%.