WNBA 2026 Championship

Kalshi's WNBA title book has become a two-team race: Atlanta 44.5%, Golden State 42.5%, Las Vegas 8.5%, New York 5.5%. Three days ago Atlanta led at 31.5% with Golden State at 31% and Las Vegas 22%. The book turned $338,887, more than four times the $73,200 of three days ago.

Atlanta's leg took the most, $136,214, with Golden State next at $71,844; Las Vegas and New York still drew $66,629 and $64,394. Polymarket agrees on the order—Atlanta 44.5%, Golden State 41.3%, Las Vegas 9.5%—on $11,066.

Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket on the same question, and all three now agree on the order: Atlanta, Golden State, Las Vegas, New York. Manifold has caught up with the real-money venues, with Atlanta at 41.5% and Golden State 41%.

Golden State 42.5%, New York 5.5%, Atlanta 44.5%, Las Vegas 8.5%. Atlanta has added 13 points in three days and Golden State 11.5; Las Vegas has given back 13.5 and New York 7.

Kalshi's Finals-qualifier board has split in two: Atlanta 85% and Golden State 84%, Las Vegas 16% and New York 13.5%, on $5,438, $3,249 of it on Las Vegas. Three days ago Atlanta was 72% and Golden State 64.5%.

Polymarket's title book settles November 15 and Kalshi's December 1. Finals qualifiers settle November 1.

• Atlanta and Golden State, two points apart at the top of Kalshi's board and level on the Finals board at 85% and 84%.
• Las Vegas at 8.5%, down from 22% three days ago, and still drawing $66,629.
• A four-fold jump in volume to $338,887 on Kalshi's title book.
• All three exchanges in the same order, with Manifold no longer an outlier.