Check the calendar before you sell

Shared workspace on Qwidgets tracking prediction markets with data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

The next scheduled catalyst is the September CPI report, on October 14, 2026, before the put below expires. Event contracts on that outcome show the implied probability of each result. The underlying was chosen to illustrate the idea; it isn't a recommendation. Quotes are delayed. Contracts last selected September 28, 2026.

A put that expires after a scheduled catalyst carries that catalyst's risk, whatever the premium looks like.

Ask two questions: which outcome above would move XLF most, and how likely do the event contracts say it is? The premium is the market's price for carrying that risk through the announcement.

The event contracts are information about the catalyst, not a hedge for the put. Read the lesson: Check the calendar before you sell.