NBA Player Movement 2026

Kalshi's next-team books settle October 21, seventeen days out, and they have gone quiet. Steph Curry is 99% to stay in Golden State on a $1,109 day. Bronny James is 95.5% to stay a Laker, $717 of a $795 day.

The positions have not gone anywhere. Curry's stay leg holds 1,019,010 contracts open, and Boston at 1% still holds 751,547. Bronny's Philadelphia leg at 1.5% holds 253,466, more than the Lakers leg at 142,312.

Jalen Duren's book is no longer the live one. Detroit is 99% on Kalshi on $28 of trading, and Polymarket's board on the same question has closed and come off this page.

Both books are dominated by one outcome near certainty. The flow is thin; read the pies for where open interest sits, not where the next trade lands.

Stays with Golden State or Retires at 99% holds 1,019,010 contracts. Boston at 1% holds 751,547 and did not trade today. If either side is wrong, it settles on October 21.

Los Angeles L at 95.5% took $717 today. Philadelphia at 1.5% took $32, but its 253,466 contracts of open interest are the largest in the book.

Four days ago this was the one book here with real two-way trading. Detroit is now 99% on Kalshi, on $28 today and 81,891 contracts of open interest; Miami and Retires / No Team are quoted at 6% without a trade. Polymarket's board on the same question has closed.

Kevin Durant's book did not trade today, with Houston at 98.5%. Kyrie Irving's turned $1,589, $1,003 of it on Dallas at 96.5% and $585 on Philadelphia at 3%; Miami at 6% holds 33,727 contracts.

• October 21: every NBA book here settles, Bronny's on October 23.
• Curry's open interest: 751,547 contracts on Boston at 1% against 1.02 million on the stay leg.
• Duren: Detroit at 99% on Kalshi, with Polymarket's board closed; the last book here with two-way trading has gone the way of the rest.
• Bronny: Philadelphia's 253,466 contracts at 1.5% remain the largest position in his book.